Market Update for Metro & Greater Vancouver
“Competition among buyers in Metro Vancouver’s housing market heats up as summer arrives,” says REBGV.
While the year started slower than usual, Metro Vancouver’s housing market is showing signs of heating up as summer arrives, with prices increasing for the sixth consecutive month.
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 3,4112 in May 2023, which is a 15.7 per cent increase from the 2,947 sales recorded in May 2022, and a 1.4 per cent decline from the 10-year seasonal average (3,458).
“Back in January, few people would have predicted prices to be up as much as they are – ourselves included,” Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director of economics and data analytics said. “Our forecast projected prices to be up modestly in 2023 by about two per cent at year-end. Instead, Metro Vancouver home prices are already up about six per cent or more across all home types at the midway point of the year.”
There were 5,661 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in May 2023. This represents an 11.5 per cent decrease compared to the 6,397 homes listed in May 2022, and was 4.3 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (5,917).
The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,293, a 10.5 per cent decrease compared to May 2022 (10,382), and 20.6 per cent below the 10- year seasonal average (11,705).
Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2023 is 38.4 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 28.5 per cent for detached homes, 45 per cent for townhomes, and 45.5 per cent for apartments.
Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
“You don’t have to squint to see the reason prices continue to increase. The fundamental issue remains that there are more buyers relative to the number of willing sellers in the market. This is keeping the amount of resale homes available in short supply,” Lis said. “And in a surprising twist, MLS® sales in May snapped back closer to historical averages than we’ve seen in the recent past, despite mortgage rates being where they are now, and new listing activity having been slower than usual this spring. If mortgage rates weren’t holding back market activity so much right now, I think our market would look a lot like the heydays of 2021/22, or even 2016/17.”
The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,188,0003 . This represents a 5.6 per cent decrease over May 2022 and a 1.3 per cent increase compared to April 2023.
Sales of detached homes in May 2023 reached 1,043, a 30.7 per cent increase from the 798 detached sales recorded in May 2022. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,953,600. This represents a 6.7 per cent decrease from May 2022 and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to April 2023.
Sales of apartment homes reached 1,730 in May 2023, a 7.9 per cent increase compared to the 1,604 sales in May 2022. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $760,800. This represents a two per cent decrease from May 2022 and a 1.1 per cent increase compared to April 2023.
Attached home sales in May 2023 totalled 608, a 16.7 per cent increase compared to the 521 sales in May 2022. The benchmark price of an attached home is $1,083,000. This represents a 4.7 per cent decrease from May 2022 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to April 2023.
Market Indicator for Metro Vancouver
To view the year-to-date and historic statistics for Metro Vancouver (which includes: Downtown, Westside, Eastside, North Vancouver, West Vancouver, Richmond, Tsawwassen, and Ladner) CLICK HERE.
Market Indicator for Greater Vancouver
To view the year-to-date and historic statistics for Greater Vancouver (which includes: Burnaby, New Westminster, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Pitt Meadows, and Maple Ridge) CLICK HERE.
Market Update for Fraser Valley
“Delayed spring activity boosts supply of property listings in the Fraser Valley,” says FVREB.
The Fraser Valley real estate market saw an injection of supply in May as new listings surged by more than 40 per cent over April.
At 3,533, new listings were just below May 2022 levels (3,631) but slightly higher (2.7 per cent) than the ten-year average for the region. A welcome trend towards alleviating housing supply issues.
“Typically we would see an influx of inventory earlier in the spring sales cycle,” said Narinder Bains, Chair of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. “The series of interest rate hikes during the latter half of 2022 had many sellers and buyers in a holding pattern for most of the year. What we’re seeing now is a recovery and adjustment to the new financing landscape.”
Active listings grew to 5,558, a 20 per cent increase over April, the highest month-over-month jump in more than a year.
The strong supply trend was met with healthy demand. In May, the Board processed 1,711 sales on its Multiple Listing Service®, a 10.1 per cent increase over last month and a 25.8 per cent jump over May of last year.
Prices continued to edge upward across all categories as buyer confidence grew, with the composite Benchmark price topping the one-million mark at $1.01 million, a level not seen since September 2022.
“It’s encouraging to see more typically cyclical activity this spring,” said FVREB CEO, Baldev Gill. “Inventory has been trending upwards since December 2022, providing more choice, which in turn will hopefully spur on even more listings. That said, with inflation tracking at elevated levels the potential for further rate hikes is very real. Buyers and sellers would be well-advised to work with real estate professionals to factor this into their decisions.”
Across the Fraser Valley in May, properties continued to move more quickly with each passing month: detached homes took, on average, 23 days to sell and apartments, 23. Townhomes moved more quickly, selling, on average, 18 days after listing.
MLS® HPI Benchmark Price Activity
• Single Family Detached: At $1,491,700, the Benchmark price for an FVREB single-family detached home increased 2.5 per cent compared to April 2023 and decreased 12.7 per cent compared to May 2022.
• Townhomes: At $826,200, the Benchmark price for an FVREB townhome increased 1.4 per cent compared to April 2023 and decreased 9.8 per cent compared to May 2022.
• Apartments: At $542,300, the Benchmark price for an FVREB apartment/condo increased 2 per cent compared to April 2023 and decreased 6.3 per cent compared to May 2022.
Market Indicator for Fraser Valley
To view the year-to-date and historic statistics for Fraser Valley (which includes: Surrey, South Surrey, White Rock, North Delta, Cloverdale, Langley, Abbotsford, and Mission) CLICK HERE.
Curious how the market is doing in your city? Whether you're looking to buy, sell, or invest in Vancouver, Burnaby, New Westminster, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Surrey, Langley, or Abbotsford, these Lower Mainland market update statistics will give you insight into the Vancouver and Fraser Valley real estate markets.
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